Accpted for publication by the Cambridge University Press, expected in early 2021 First full versions of chapters April 21th 2020 - latest update October 3rd
Cover
Page vContent
viiForeword 21
Chapter 2. Some Technical Points 35
Chapter 3. The Largest Historical Event: The End of Soviet Socialism 43 Part II. Transitions of Institutions 44Part IIA. The Democratic Transition, chapters 4 to 7 45
Chapter 4. Literature, Data, Transition Path and Causality 61
Chapter 5. The Jumps Model for the Short Run, 1960-2016 71
Chapter 6. Events are Practically Random 83
Chapter 7. The Three Pillars Model for the Long Run, 1800-2016 94
Part IIB. The Transition of the Economic System, chapters 8 and 9 95
Chapter 8. Ownership Preferences: The B-index 111
Chapter 9. Economic freedom: The F-index 120
Part IIC. The Transition of traditions and beliefs, chapters 10 to 11 121
Chapter 10. The Transition of Corruption 141
Chapter 11. The Religious Transtion 164 Part III. The Grand Transition 165
Chapter 12. The Hump-Shaped Transtion Path for the Growth Rate 179
Chapter 13. Do Improvements of institutions Harm Development? 197
References 205 Index (not completed)