First full versions of chapters April 21th - latest update May 19th
Content. Page 1 Foreword. Page 2
Part 1. Main Ideas. Page 6
Chapter 1. Introduction. Page 7
Chapter 2. Some Technical Points. Page 24
Chapter 3. The Largest Historical Event: The End of Soviet Socialism. Page 37
Part 2. Four Transitions of Institutions. Page 45
Chapter 4. The Democratic Transition and the Jumps Model, 1960-2016. Page 46
Chapter 5. Events are Practically Random. Page 73
Chapter 6. The Three Pillars Model and the Long Run, 1800-2016. Page 84
Chapter 7. The Transition of the Economic System. Page 95
Chapter 8. The Transition of Corruption. Page 119
Chapter 9. The Religious Transtion. Page 139
Part 3. The Grand Transition. Page 162
Chapter 10. The Hump-Shaped Transtion Path for the Growth Rate. Page 163
Chapter 11. Do Improvements of institutions Harm Development? Page 178
Chapter 12. Conclusions. Page 189
Index (not completed). Page 201