Most with Erich Gundlach,
GIGA IAS and Hamburg University, Germany
Income and Democracy:
A comment on Acemoglu, Johnson, Robinson and Yared (2008).
October 2008.
The polity data:
An analysis of their properties.
March 2009.
The democratic transition in a generic country
A graphical exposition
September 2010.
The demographic transition
an estimate of the typical path
September 2010.
The agricultural transition in a generic country
A graphical exposition
September 2010.
The transition of corruption
Causality and two models
September 2010.
The religious transition and the transition in support for capitalism
Causality and two models
September 2010.
Background paper to the spirits of capitalism and socialism.
With Christian Bjørnskov, My department
August 2010.
Description of the Polity-data used
New version for: Why do political regimes change?
A study of triggering events.
August 2017.
Kernels used for beauty contests of competing causal theories
Show how kernel regressions may give causal evidence
May 2019
Measuring Democracy, 1972-2016 How different are eight democracy indices? Discussion paper June 2021.
Measuring democracy, 1960-2016
How different are the Polity and the V-Dem indices?
Discussion paper June 2021.