Most with Erich Gundlach,
GIGA IAS and Hamburg University, Germany
The demographic transition
an estimate of the typical path
The transition of corruption
Causality and two models
Background paper to the spirits of capitalism and socialism.
With Christian Bjørnskov, My department
Description of the Polity-data used
New version for: Why do political regimes change?
A study of triggering events.
Kernels used for beauty contests of competing causal theories
Show how kernel regressions may give causal evidence
Measuring Democracy, 1972-2016 How different are eight democracy indices? Discussion paper June 2021.
Measuring democracy, 1960-2016
How different are the Polity and the V-Dem indices?
Discussion paper June 2021.